September saw a meaningful expansion in market leadership, with emerging markets and U.S. small-cap equities stepping into the spotlight.
Higher Highs. As the party keeps going, how important are all-time highs?
Resilience and Rotation: Fed cuts, global optimism and sector shifts define the month.
Rates Set the Price, Liquidity Sets the Terms. Markets run higher ahead of Fed rate announcement.
Congress passed the “One Big Beautiful Bill” (OBBB), a sweeping piece of tax legislation extending many provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA).
Calm Above, Currents Below. Strong earnings season and resilient economy gives way to a weak July employment report.
We are reminded of Newton’s third law: for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction. The global economy is contending with a powerful new force: tariffs.
Imperfect Independence. A brief review of Fed Independence.
From Liberation to Limbo. Trade policy shockwaves are just beginning to reverberate.
Trumpenomics. Investors rotate toward certainty as President Trump seeks to reshape the economy.
Although tariffs were absent from the flurry of executive orders in January, February brought new developments, with Canada, Mexico, and China now in the spotlight.
Growth Scare Hits Risk Assets. High valuations come with high expectations. U.S. equity markets step back on growth concerns.
Markets shifted tone and investors grew more anxious of the current economic environment as foreign trade policy took hold with the Trump administration’s announcement of a 10% universal tariff and additional tariffs on various countries. Consumer confidence fell, touching levels last seen in 2021, as the risk of recession grew and inflation remains elevated.
Our outlook for the markets is broadly the same as it was before Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election.
The interesting journey of the Washington State Capital Gains Tax appears to have reached its final landing place.
The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut rates by another 50 basis points (or 0.50%) was a key event in the quarter, leading to a mixed reaction across investment markets.
Earlier this week, the Fed announced a 50bps (basis points or 0.50%) reduction to the Fed Funds Rate, their key interest rate and primary lever for carrying out monetary policy.
After the latest debate, the U.S. presidential election cycle is in full swing.
The third quarter was strong for seemingly all investment assets. That said, the current market rally was thrown off course in late early August as investors reacted to a weaker-than-expected jobs report, fueling concerns that a stumbling labor market implied a recession may be looming.
It has now been over a year since the Washington Supreme Court upheld a law instituting a 7% tax on capital gains (i.e. profits) from the sale of assets (with some exceptions) exceeding $250,000.
Growth remains positive and core inflation moderated from 3.8% to 3.3% during the quarter. The current market environment has provided room for the Federal Reserve to reduce the Fed Funds rate.
Defying investor expectations, the U.S. economy continues to be defined by one word: resilient. U.S. GDP has grown above 2% in each of the last six quarters and the labor market remains strong.